Monday, December 9, 2024

The Return of Gold to India: A Strategic Shift

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RBI recently made headlines by shifting over 100 tons of gold from the UK to its domestic vaults. The move was a significant first since the economic crisis in 1991. The amount of gold brought back amazes both the masses and classes! The decision aims to reduce storage costs paid to the Bank of England. Reports show that till March  2024, over half of RBI’s gold reserves were held overseas. Thus, this return of gold reserves signals a strategic change. Let’s explore!

Background: The 1991 Crisis and Gold Pledge

What happened during the 1991 Financial crisis in India?(Case Study)
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The Crisis

In 1991, India faced a severe balance of payments crisis. The nation was on the brink of defaulting on its financial obligations. Similar to what Pakistan faces today, India’s foreign exchange reserves plummeted to just about $1.2 billion. This amount was barely enough to cover two weeks of imports. Some analysts believe that this collapse was a direct consequence of Manmohan Singh as an economic advisor to PM Chandra Shekhar in 1990. The fall of this government gave birth to the coalition government of 1991. And the economic situation came directly under ex-PM Manmohan Singh as Finance Minister. So, he advised Bharat to seek out the IMF for a bail-out from this economic crisis.

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The Loan

What happened during the 1991 Financial crisis in India?(Case Study)
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Consequently, the IMF made the Indian government pledge gold for the loan. Additionally, the IMF demanded that India open up its economy to ‘free enterprise’, i.e. privatization. The dire straits and the promise of help made India pledge nearly 47 tonnes of gold to secure the loan. This ‘sona’ was stored with the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. The RBI shipped 20 tonnes of gold to the Union Bank of Switzerland in July 1991 and another 47 tonnes to the Bank of England, securing a total of $405 million in loans. This act of pledging gold was a temporary measure, intended to provide the necessary funds to stabilize the economy while more comprehensive economic reforms were implemented.

Free Economy or Financial Colony

1991 Economic Reforms: 5 Months Which Transformed India
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The 1991 economic crisis marked a turning point in India’s economic policies. The Indian markets were opened up under the name of liberalization and economic reforms. Without the necessary backdrop of development or industrialization, India became a huge consumer market for the West to exploit. PM Narshimha Rao’s government and the then Finance Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, introduced significant policy changes. These included devaluing the rupee, reducing import tariffs, deregulating domestic industries, and encouraging foreign investment.

These reforms were meant to define India’s economic transformation but basically rendered India A

Financial Colony of The West!

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RBI’s Gold Reserves: A Steady Increase

RBI shifts 100 tonnes of gold from UK to its vaults, first time since 1991 - BusinessToday
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As of 31st March 2024, the RBI’s gold reserves stood at 822.10 tonnes. This amount is up from the 794.63 tonnes noted in 2023. This steady increase reflects a long-term strategy to diversify assets and strengthen financial stability. In 2009, the RBI bought 200 tonnes of gold from the IMF for $6.7 billion. Over the years, the central bank has continued to build up its gold reserves through regular purchases.

By relocating gold back to India, the RBI also saves on storage costs. Bharat’s gold is domestically stored in vaults in Mumbai and Nagpur. The current move of an additional 100 tons of gold reduces expenses and enhances the security of the reserves. Holding gold domestically provides a buffer against global financial uncertainties. Moreover, it enhances the RBI’s ability to manage liquidity and monetary policy.

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Global Context: Central Banks and Gold Reserves

RBI gold UK: RBI moves 1 lakh kg of gold from UK back to India, first such move of this quantum since 1991 - The Economic Times
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According to the World Gold Council, central banks globally hold about 17% of all the gold ever mined, totaling 36,699 metric tons as of the end of 2023. India’s share of the world’s gold increased from 7.75% in December 2023 to 8.7% in March 2024. Fortunately, Bharat now houses most of its reserve on its own land.

Gold remains a critical asset for national and central banks. They provide stability and act as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations. Bharat’s decision to bring back its ‘Sona’ aligns with a broader trend of central banks increasing their gold holdings. 

Geopolitical Implications

The return of  ‘Bharat Ka Sona’ carries significant geopolitical implications. It signals India’s growing confidence in its economic stability. Moreover, it highlights Bharat’s desire to assert greater control over its financial assets. With a decreasing global faith in the dollar, Bharat needs to have access to its reserves. Additionally, this move could also be seen as a response to global economic uncertainties.

The rising instability in the EU and the geopolitical tensions due to the open borders policy has made Europe an unsafe bet. The Ukraine-Russia war also has made frothing NATO nations a cause of concern. Thus, by bolstering its gold reserves at home, Bharat is better positioned to navigate the complexities of the global financial system and enhance its economic sovereignty.

Consequently, the strategic relocation of 100 tons of this precious metal by the RBI marks a significant step in India’s economic journey. It reflects that Bharat is on the prudent path of financial management and growth. Therefore, as global dynamics continue to evolve, this move underscores India’s commitment to economic resilience and stability. Moreover, as a civilization obsessed with ‘sona’ and historically known as the ‘Sone Ki Chidiya,’ the people of Bharat love to see their gold stowed safely at home!!  

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