Stray elements of Pakistan once again violated the ceasefire along the LoC in Jammu and Kashmir. This time, the Indian Army retaliated with full force, inflicting heavy casualties on Pakistani troops. The attack in Poonch follows a suspicious IED blast near the LoC in Akhnoor, which killed two Indian soldiers, including a captain. While this might seem like just another random ceasefire violation, the timing and circumstances suggest a much deeper game.
Pakistan State Sponsored Terrorism โฆ
Violation of Ceasefire Agreement โฆ
Need to hit back where it hurts โฆHighest respects & Salute to the brave hearts ๐ซก๐ซก
Jai Hind ๐ฎ๐ณ pic.twitter.com/LdjsuoYLgk
โ KJS DHILLON๐ฎ๐ณ (@TinyDhillon) February 13, 2025
Pakistani forces are not merely testing Indiaโs patience โ they appears to be deliberately provoking a response. But why? Is this a ploy to shift attention from its crumbling internal situation? Is Pakistan hoping to internationalize Kashmir by baiting India into a conflict? Or is this a Hamas-style provocation, hoping to gain sympathy and support from global anti-India forces?
The ceasefire on Line of Control is intact and continues to be observed as per the understanding between both the armies (of India and Pakistan). Tension due to some stray incidents of cross LoC firing and a suspected IED blast on one of our ptls on the LoC is being dealt withโฆ pic.twitter.com/R9eK78ffP9
โ ANI (@ANI) February 13, 2025
Ceasefire Betrayal By Pakistan: A Habitual Offender
Pรกkistan Army Violates Ceasefire Along #LOC In Poonch & Rajouri, Indian Army effectively Retaliated
A blatant violation of peace agreements, driven by Pรกk's nefarious desire to
disrupt peace and development in J&K. The idea of progress in J&K rattles ๐ต๐ฐ pic.twitter.com/53dA0A7LXWโ Fatima Dar (@FatimaDar_jk) February 13, 2025
Pakistan and its disregard for ceasefire agreements is nothing new. The latest violation in Poonchโs Krishna Ghati sector is part of a long pattern of Pakistani aggression. The latest ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan was reaffirmed on 25 February 2021, in an attempt to reduce hostilities along the LoC. However, Pakistan has repeatedly broken this agreement.
Since the 2021 ceasefire renewal, Pakistan has violated it over 2,500 times.
These violations range from small-scale border firing to full-scale terrorist infiltrations. Consequently, causing needless loss of Indian lives. The Pakistani Army, along with terror groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed, has consistently used these ceasefire breaches to push militants into Indian territory.
Each time India retaliates, Pakistan plays the victim card on global platforms, crying about โIndian aggression.โ
However, this time is different. The scale of casualties suffered by the Pakistani side suggests that Indiaโs retaliation was swift, decisive, and deadly. Yet, Islamabad refuses to learn its lesson. It continues to stoke tensions, hoping to provoke a larger conflict.
A Calculated Distraction: Pakistanโs Internal Collapse & Fear of Balkanization
Pakistan is facing an existential crisis. Its economy is in freefall, with inflation soaring past 30% and the Pakistani rupee hitting historic lows. The country is drowning in $130 billion of external debt to China, Saudi Arabia, and the IMF. Thus, its resources are either sold off or leased, and its every move is dictated by these loans.
In simple terms, Pakistan has no money and no sovereignty.
Security situation in Pakistan ๐ต๐ฐseems to be going bad to worse.
๐ดAnother Baloch group #BLF released video of SNIPER attack on Pakistani forces in Turbat Balochistan.
They used :
~M24 sniper
~ A1 grenades pic.twitter.com/j0WqVNhJVgโ Levina๐ฎ๐ณ (@LevinaNeythiri) February 12, 2025
But its problems donโt stop at the economy. Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and even Sindh are rising up against the Pakistani state. The BLA has carried out deadly attacks on Pakistani security forces, recently killing six Pakistani soldiers in Turbat. The TTP is growing stronger and has launched several suicide bombings, it controls many regions in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa unofficially.
Taliban defence minister announces "don't consider Khyber pakhtunwa as a Pakistani territory"
Tension escalates "pakistan trouble"#zelena#Sikandar pic.twitter.com/7ZP15DPGzh
โ Munendr kushwaha (@KushwahaMunendr) December 29, 2024
Even Afghanistan, which was once under Islamabadโs control through the Taliban, has started defying Pakistan openly.
The Taliban is no longer willing to listen to the ISI. Thus, the border clashes between Afghan and Pakistani forces have increased. Pakistan is losing control over its own territory. Moreover, it faces a grim reality of Balkanization.
The breakup of Pakistan into multiple independent states โ is no longer just a theory.
Faced with this internal turmoil, Pakistanโs military-intelligence complex is resorting to its oldest trick โ escalating tensions with India. By provoking India, Pakistan hopes to unite its fractured society under anti-India nationalism! Additionally, it hopes to force the world to focus on Kashmir instead of its failing internal control in the nation.
Is Pakistan Playing the โGaza-Hamasโ Card?
Pakistanโs latest ceasefire violation bears a striking resemblance to Hamasโ October 7 attack on Israel. Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel, forcing Tel Aviv into war. Similarly, Pakistan seems to be baiting India into a conflict. The timing of the violation is most suspicious.
Just days before this latest ceasefire violation, Pakistan hosted a terror summit attended by a Hamas advisor.
This means that Pakistan is not only coordinating with global jihadist networks but is also learning from Hamasโ playbook. Hamas used Gazaโs civilian population as a human shield while provoking Israel into war. The same tactic is being used by Pakistan. By violating the ceasefire, pushing terrorists across the border, and escalating tensions in Kashmir, Pakistan hopes to:
- Divert attention from its internal collapse โ If India retaliates too heavily, Pakistan can shift domestic focus away from its economic crisis and separatist movements.
- Garner global sympathy โ Hamas received support from Iran, Turkey, and anti-Israel forces. Similarly, Pakistan hopes that a military escalation with India will rally anti-India forces like China, Turkey, etc. Moreover, radical Islamic nations will also come to its aid.
- Secure foreign funding โ A military crisis with India might force the IMF, UN, and Gulf nations to pump money into Pakistan under the pretext of โstabilization.โ
Pakistan is essentially betting on war to survive. But unlike Hamas, it is playing with fire against a much stronger opponent.
Whatโs Next? A Battle Pakistan Canโt Win
Pakistan is running out of options. It is hopelessly short of funds and ammunition. And its Amry is fighting wars on multiple borders. The country has already lost credibility on the global stage. The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) continues to monitor Pakistan for terror financing, even if it was taken off the Grey List in 2022.
Its traditional allies, like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are now demanding strict economic reforms before providing aid.
Unlike previous decades, Indiaโs response will no longer be reactive fire and table diplomacy. The Indian Army has already demonstrated that it can conduct surgical strikes and airstrikes deep inside Pakistan, targeting terrorist camps and Pakistani military installations. If Pakistan escalates further, India will not hesitate to retaliate with overwhelming force.
The real question is โ how much longer before Pakistanโs self-destructive policies push it over the edge into total disintegration? If Islamabad continues to provoke a mightier Bharat under Modi 3.0, it may not have a country left to fight for.
The world will watch soon as Pakistan implodes from within, a victim of its own terror policies.